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Tech Report kmi-04-10 Abstract


Modelling Agents Behaviour in Automated Negotiation
Techreport ID: kmi-04-10
Date: 2004
Author(s): Chongming Hou
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This paper presents a learning mechanism that applies nonlinear regression analysis to model a negotiation agents behaviour based only on the opponent's previous offers. The behaviour of negotiation agents in this study is determined by their tactics in the form of decision functions. Heuristics based on estimates of an agents tactics are drawn from a series of experiments. By applying the nonlinear regression and the obtained heuristic knowledge, an agent can improve their overall performance by predicting the opponents deadline and reservation value, terminating pointless negotiation, and avoiding negotiation breakdown. The findings of this study show that this approach can be used to obtain better deals than previously proposed tactics. The learning mechanism can be used online, without any prior knowledge about the other agents and is therefore, very useful in open systems where agents have little or no information about each other.
 
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Knowledge Management
Creating learning organisations hinges on managing knowledge at many levels. Knowledge can be provided by individuals or it can be created as a collective effort of a group working together towards a common goal, it can be situated as "war stories" or it can be generalised as guidelines, it can be described informally as comments in a natural language, pictures and technical drawings or it can be formalised as mathematical formulae and rules, it can be expressed explicitly or it can be tacit, embedded in the work product. The recipient of knowledge - the learner - can be an individual or a work group, professionals, university students, schoolchildren or informal communities of interest.
Our aim is to capture, analyse and organise knowledge, regardless of its origin and form and make it available to the learner when needed presented with the necessary context and in a form supporting the learning processes.