Discovering Dynamics using Bayesian Clustering

This paper introduces a Bayesian method for clustering dynamic processes and applies it to the characterization of the

dynamics of a military scenario. The method models dynamics as Markov chains and then applies an agglomerative clustering procedure to discover the most probable set of clusters capturing the different dynamics. To increase efficiency, the method uses an entropy-based heuristic search strategy.

1. Department of  Statistics, The Open University.

2. Knowledge Media Institute, The Open University.

3. Department of Computer Science, University of Massachusetts at Amherst.